Below is the Mocktopus' final "Competitive Mock" which uses the Mocktopus' models to create the highest projected score using the mock draft scoring system popularized by the Huddle Report (two point for a player correctly matched with his team and one point for a player correctly mocked in the first round).
Although the Competitive Mock is not as controversial as the Fan Mock because it eliminates the "doubles," it bucks conventional wisdom in its own way.
The most controversial pick you will see here is Star Lotulelei falling all the way to the San Francisco 49ers at number thirty one. Of course, the Mocktopus thinks this will almost certainly not happen. However, it is not easy to find a home for Star. Star is a possibility at the Eagles at number four, but the near consensus forming around Johnson makes him a poor fit there. The Cowboys are another strong possibility, but Sylvester Williams appears there in slightly more simulations, and there is no other place to put Williams where he captures the same potential points. Enter the 49ers, whose most likely draftee according to the Mocktopus is Kenny Vacarro, who is a much better fit in about five other places. The Mocktopus slides Lotulelei in that slot because it can then "lock" in the one expected point for mocking him in the first round, and it loses very little in terms of the potential two point score it could get from mocking another player to that slot.
Another difficult player to mock is Dion Jordan. If the Mocktopus can't mock Jarvis Jones to both the Saints and the Steelers, the Mocktopus likes Jordan to the Saints. If the Jaguars are interested in one of the offensive tackles, the Browns are interested in a quarterback or a cornerback, and the Jets prefer Mingo, it would be easy for Jordan to slip to number fifteen, where the Saints would likely be eager to snatch him up.
One interesting team in this draft is the Bills. Many mocks have Syracuse quarterback going to the Bills at number eight, but the Mocktopus feels it is unlikely to occur. The Mocktopus values Nassib at approximately the 54th best player in the draft, and taking such a player at number eight would be a reach of historic proportions, especially considering that stronger prospects like Barkley will likely be on the board. Barkley himself is an interesting case. He has nearly a 50-50 shot to drop to the second round, but his best shot of going in the first (absent a trade scenario) is at number eight to the Bills. Tavon Austin is another strong possibility.
1. Kansas City Chiefs / Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
2. Jacksonville Jaguars / Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
3. Oakland Raiders / Sharif Floyd, DT, Florida
4. Philadelphia Eagles / Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
5. Detroit Lions / Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU
6. Cleveland Browns / Geno Smith, QB, West Virginai
7. Arizona Cardinals / Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
8. Buffalo Bills / Matt Barkley, QB, USC
9. New York Jets / Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU
10. Tennessee Titans / Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
11. San Diego Chargers / Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
12. Miami Dolphins / D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
13. New York Jets / Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
14. Carolina Panthers / Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
15. New Orleans Saints / Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon
16. St. Louis Rams / Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
17. Pittsburgh Steelers / Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
18. Dallas Cowboys / Sylvester Williams, DT, Missouri
19. New York Giants / Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State
20. Chicago Bears / Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame
21. Cincinnati Bengals / Eric Reid, SAF, LSU
22. St. Louis Rams / Kenny Vacarro, SAF, Texas
23. Minnesota Vikings / Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
24. Indianapolis Colts / D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston
25. Minnesota Vikings / Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia
26. Green Bay Packers / Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
27. Houston Texans / Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
28. Denver Broncos / Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
29. New England Patriots / Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
30. Atlanta Falcons / Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
31. San Francisco 49ers / Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
32. Baltimore Ravens / Arthur Brown, OLB, Kansas State
No comments:
Post a Comment