Monday, April 22, 2013

Mocktopus Top 100

As discussed in previous posts, an important component of the Mocktopus is a type of value board which estimates the value of each prospect in order to adjust for the bias of mock drafters towards team needs.  The Mocktopus' value board compiles the best value charts the Internet has to offer and weights them by their historical accuracy.  This is somewhat of a challenge because there have only been a few draftniks who have been producing Top 100 value boards long enough to get a large enough sample size to perform a fair evaluation of their relative strengths.  Another challenge is that there are not a lot of Top 100 lists that are very good.  Part of the issue is that it is hard enough to project where the first thirty two prospects will go, let alone the first hundred.  It takes a lot more work and a lot less luck to create a strong Top 100 list than it does for a strong mock draft.

In any event, aside from its use in the Mocktopus, a weighted consensus Top 100 list is an interesting instrument in and of itself.  Here is the Mocktopus' Top 100 list.  "ER" means all edge rushers (3-4 OLB's and 4-3 DE's), "DL" means all defensive tackles and 3-4 defensive ends, and "IL" means "interior offensive linemen."  I'll be tracking how well this Top 100 list stacks up by the scoring system used by the Huddle Report: one point per player selected in the top 100 of the actual NFL Draft.


Rank
Name
Pos
University
1 Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan
2 Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M
3 Sharrif Floyd DL Florida
4 Chance Warmack IL Alabama
5 Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
6 Dee Milliner CB Alabama
7 Dion Jordan ER Oregon
8 Jonathan Cooper IL North Carolina
9 Star Lotulelei DL Utah
10 Ezekiel Ansah ER Brigham Young
11 Barkevious Mingo ER LSU
12 Sheldon Richardson DL Missouri
13 Jarvis Jones ER Georgia
14 D.J. Fluker OT Alabama
15 Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame
16 Kenny Vaccaro SAF Texas
17 Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State
18 Sylvester Williams DL North Carolina
19 Geno Smith QB West Virginia
20 Bjoern Werner ER Florida State
21 Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee
22 Tavon Austin WR West Virginia
23 Manti Te'o LB Notre Dame
24 Alec Ogletree LB Georgia
25 Desmond Trufant CB Washington
26 Datone Jones DL UCLA
27 Eric Reid SAF LSU
28 Arthur Brown LB Kansas State
29 Eddie Lacy RB Alabama
30 Matt Barkley QB USC
31 Menelik Watson OT Florida State
32 Justin Hunter WR Tennessee
33 Damontre Moore ER Texas A&M
34 Robert Woods WR USC
35 Johnathan Hankins DL Ohio State
36 Cornellius Carradine ER Florida State
37 D.J. Hayden CB Houston
38 Zach Ertz TE Stanford
39 Justin Pugh OT Syracuse
40 DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson
41 Matt Elam SAF Florida
42 Keenan Allen WR California
43 Johnthan Banks CB Mississippi State
44 Jonathan Cyprien SAF Fla. International
45 Kevin Minter LB LSU
46 Margus Hunt ER SMU
47 Kawann Short DL Purdue
48 EJ Manuel QB Florida State
49 Montee Ball RB Wisconsin
50 Kyle Long OT Oregon
51 Jamar Taylor CB Boise State
52 Terrance Williams WR Baylor
53 Ryan Nassib QB Syracuse
54 Larry Warford IL Kentucky
55 John Jenkins DL Georgia
56 Terron Armstead OT AR-Pine Bluff
57 Jesse Williams DL Alabama
58 Giovani Bernard RB North Carolina
59 Travis Frederick IL Wisconsin
60 Alex Okafor ER Texas
61 David Amerson CB N. Carolina State
62 Quinton Patton WR Louisiana Tech
63 Robert Alford CB Se. Louisiana
64 Darius Slay CB Mississippi State
65 Aaron Dobson WR Marshall
66 Gavin Escobar TE San Diego State
67 D.J. Swearinger SAF South Carolina
68 Sam Montgomery ER LSU
69 Brian Schwenke IL California
70 Mike Glennon QB N. Carolina State
71 Andre Ellington RB Clemson
72 Blidi Wreh-Wilson CB Connecticut
73 Sio Moore LB Connecticut
74 Brandon Williams DL Missouri Southern
75 Brian Winters OT Kent State
76 Vance McDonald TE Rice
77 Khaseem Greene LB Rutgers
78 Jamie Collins ER So. Mississippi
79 Dwayne Gratz CB Connecticut
80 Johnathan Franklin RB UCLA
81 Jordan Poyer CB Oregon State
82 Le'Veon Bell RB Michigan State
83 Markus Wheaton WR Oregon State
84 Barrett Jones IL Alabama
85 Tyler Bray QB Tennessee
86 Stedman Bailey WR West Virginia
87 Tyler Wilson QB Arkansas
88 Logan Ryan CB Rutgers
89 David Bakhtiari OT Colorado
90 J.J. Wilcox SAF Rutgers
91 Travis Kelce TE Cincinnati
92 Cornelius Washington ER Georgia
93 B.W. Webb CB William & Mary
94 Jon Bostic LB Florida
95 Christine Michael RB Texas A&M
96 Corey Lemonier ER Auburn
97 Phillip Thomas SAF Fresno State
98 David Quessenberry OT San Diego State
99 Tyrann Mathieu CB LSU
100 Bennie Logan DL LSU

No comments:

Post a Comment